Harvard
W-L: (20-12) PR = 95.1674Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 61-56 1109 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 55-84 1111 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 55-68 1115 A Oakland HL (10-21, 93.2) 93-55 1116 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 65-76 1119 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 72-65 1124 H Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 60-80 1126 H So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 54-56 1130 A Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 69-51 1203 A Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 61-46 1205 A Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 67-33 1221 H Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 57-59 1229 A Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 70-63 103 A Dartmouth IVY ( 7-17, 92.5) 72-47 110 H Columbia IVY (24- 8, 95.8) 55-58 117 A Pennsylvania IVY (16-10, 94.5) 53-42 119 H Princeton IVY (26- 4, 96.7) 79-82 124 A Cornell IVY ( 7-18, 92.6) 84-38 130 A Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 72-44 131 A Brown IVY (14-11, 94.1) 61-58 207 A Dartmouth IVY ( 7-17, 92.5) 75-35 213 A Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 70-62 214 H Brown IVY (14-11, 94.1) 62-68 221 A Cornell IVY ( 7-18, 92.6) 74-37 227 A Pennsylvania IVY (16-10, 94.5) 60-46 228 H Princeton IVY (26- 4, 96.7) 49-62 307 A Columbia IVY (24- 8, 95.8) 68-64 313 A Columbia IVY (24- 8, 95.8) 67-65 314 H Princeton IVY (26- 4, 96.7) 53-63 319 A Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 73-52 322 A Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 63-34 326 H Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 61-64
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A St. John's 61-56 5 0 + 2.12
1109 H Michigan 55-84 -29 -3 0.00
1111 H Mass 55-68 -13 0 - -2.34
1115 A Oakland 93-55 38 2 0.04
1116 H California 65-76 -11 -1 -1.27
1119 A Boston Col 72-65 7 2 0.00
1124 H Alabama 60-80 -20 -2 -0.05
1126 H So Florida 54-56 -2 0 -1.74
1130 A Arkansas 69-51 18 0 1.59
1203 A Holy Cross 61-46 15 1 0.94
1205 A Stony Brook 67-33 34 2 0.16
1221 H Maine 57-59 -2 1 - -3.12
1229 A Delaware 70-63 7 2 0.10
103 A Dartmouth 72-47 25 3 0.00
110 H Columbia 55-58 -3 -1 -1.39
117 A Pennsylvania 53-42 11 1 1.36
119 H Princeton 79-82 -3 -1 -0.52
124 A Cornell 84-38 46 3 0.00
130 A Yale 72-44 28 3 0.00
131 A Brown 61-58 3 1 0.99
207 A Dartmouth 75-35 40 3 0.00
213 A Yale 70-62 8 3 0.00
214 H Brown 62-68 -6 1 - -3.03
221 A Cornell 74-37 37 3 0.00
227 A Pennsylvania 60-46 14 1 1.36
228 H Princeton 49-62 -13 -1 -0.52
307 A Columbia 68-64 4 -1 + 2.63
313 A Columbia 67-65 2 -1 + 2.63
314 H Princeton 53-63 -10 -1 -0.52
319 A Navy 73-52 21 1 0.92
322 A Ea Kentucky 63-34 29 1 1.26
326 H Wisconsin 61-64 -3 0 -1.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 H Mass 55-68 -13 0 - -2.34 1221 H Maine 57-59 -2 1 - -3.12 214 H Brown 62-68 -6 1 - -3.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A St. John's 61-56 5 0 + 2.12 307 A Columbia 68-64 4 -1 + 2.63 313 A Columbia 67-65 2 -1 + 2.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 61-56 -4.63 6.33 0.01 0.95 12.03
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 55-84 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.95 -0.89
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 55-68 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 0.95 -2.40
3 A Oakland (10-21, 93.2) 93-55 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.95 8.09
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 65-76 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 0.95 -1.90
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 72-65 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.95 7.49
3 H Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 60-80 -2.77 8.19 -0.01 0.95 -1.32
3 H So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 54-56 -4.47 6.49 -0.01 0.95 -2.12
3 A Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 69-51 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.95 11.03
3 A Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 61-46 -5.80 5.16 0.01 0.95 9.81
3 A Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 67-33 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.95 8.32
3 H Maine (18-13, 94.1) 57-59 -5.84 5.12 -0.01 0.95 -2.77
3 A Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 70-63 -6.64 4.32 0.01 0.95 8.22
3 A Dartmouth ( 7-17, 92.5) 72-47 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.79
3 H Columbia (24- 8, 95.8) 55-58 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.95 -1.95
3 A Pennsylvania (16-10, 94.5) 53-42 -5.38 5.58 0.01 0.95 10.60
3 H Princeton (26- 4, 96.7) 79-82 -3.24 7.72 -0.01 0.95 -1.54
3 A Cornell ( 7-18, 92.6) 84-38 -7.34 3.62 0.01 0.95 6.89
3 A Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 72-44 -7.41 3.55 0.01 0.95 6.75
3 A Brown (14-11, 94.1) 61-58 -5.76 5.20 0.01 0.95 9.89
3 A Dartmouth ( 7-17, 92.5) 75-35 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.79
3 A Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 70-62 -7.41 3.55 0.01 0.95 6.75
3 H Brown (14-11, 94.1) 62-68 -5.76 5.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.73
3 A Cornell ( 7-18, 92.6) 74-37 -7.34 3.62 0.01 0.95 6.89
3 A Pennsylvania (16-10, 94.5) 60-46 -5.38 5.58 0.01 0.95 10.60
3 H Princeton (26- 4, 96.7) 49-62 -3.24 7.72 -0.01 0.95 -1.54
3 A Columbia (24- 8, 95.8) 68-64 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.95 13.01
3 A Columbia (24- 8, 95.8) 67-65 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.95 13.01
3 H Princeton (26- 4, 96.7) 53-63 -3.24 7.72 -0.01 0.95 -1.54
3 A Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 73-52 -5.82 5.14 0.01 0.95 9.77
3 A Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 63-34 -5.49 5.47 0.01 0.95 10.40
3 H Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 61-64 -4.32 6.64 -0.01 0.95 -2.05
------
160.34
|
winning pts = 183.1123 losing points = -22.7718
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------